Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 3.598775 4.033190 4.504346 5.054119 5.679033 6.368433 7.188176
2024-10-13 2.962940 3.538189 4.207128 5.045560 6.072620 7.295159 8.868675
2024-10-20 2.535047 3.174728 3.958732 4.996551 6.343535 8.045181 10.377480
2024-10-27 2.134828 2.774870 3.592389 4.722507 6.258819 8.295332 11.233955
2024-11-03 1.930543 2.592946 3.470497 4.731394 6.518349 8.992712 12.735245
2024-11-10 1.802930 2.494119 3.440545 4.849120 6.923070 9.912987 14.638319
2024-11-17 1.670575 2.372150 3.361350 4.880588 7.195577 10.657018 16.351217
2024-11-24 1.556932 2.264096 3.288275 4.907423 7.454365 11.394425 18.124641
2024-12-01 1.456849 2.165619 3.217887 4.926816 7.696084 12.119365 19.949295
2024-12-08 1.337122 2.026609 3.072978 4.813525 7.710056 12.471729 21.177357
2024-12-15 1.252056 1.933680 2.990397 4.789692 7.863021 13.060580 22.872122
2024-12-22 1.173309 1.844196 2.905254 4.752109 7.985373 13.602735 24.536302
2024-12-29 1.148448 1.841403 2.962493 4.963379 8.566592 15.023951 28.046271
2025-01-05 1.083643 1.767822 2.896799 4.956482 8.758837 15.762624 30.339951
2025-01-12 1.017763 1.687339 2.812796 4.908767 8.869681 16.357455 32.417712
2025-01-19 0.921196 1.547452 2.616082 4.640097 8.539373 16.070527 32.632367
2025-01-26 0.877672 1.496887 2.572086 4.648831 8.740432 16.843976 35.195817
2025-02-02 0.853702 1.479052 2.584712 4.764288 9.160333 18.099421 38.981405
2025-02-09 0.819215 1.439730 2.555070 4.795149 9.411585 19.030059 42.155682
2025-02-16 0.786643 1.401624 2.524719 4.821466 9.654724 19.966798 45.470305
2025-02-23 0.755444 1.363939 2.492318 4.840482 9.883198 20.893720 48.888214
2025-03-02 0.710451 1.297319 2.399984 4.729382 9.820275 21.161164 50.699474
2025-03-09 0.679184 1.255006 2.351908 4.706009 9.946854 21.872136 53.739122